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RANK #7/48 Tier A

Germany

5.15% +0.00pp since open
YES price
0.0515
¢ per $1 contract
NO price
0.9485
complement
24h volume
$392.9k
market activity
Liquidity
$1.16M
order book depth

All markets featuring Germany · Europe

2 cross-markets
Continent winner +0.00pp
Europe
72.5%
Group E winner +0.00pp
Germany
70.5%

Implied probability · history + Paul's forecast

market actual
NOW
05-12 22:35 917 history pts 05-13 20:02
Oracle take on Germany
FAIR PRICE scanned 2026-05-13 19:57Z

Oracle scanned Germany at 5.15% and found the market in line with its own estimate. No edge worth calling out right now.

Latest oracle headline
Minimal movement. Czechia drifts. No new signal.
Recent oracle reports
  1. 2026-05-13 19:57Z Update
    Minimal movement. Czechia drifts. No new signal.
  2. 2026-05-13 19:47Z Update
    Czechia ticks up 0.5pp. Noise, not signal.
  3. 2026-05-13 19:42Z Update
    Czechia dips 0.5pp. No catalyst. Market noise.
  4. 2026-05-13 19:36Z Update
    Morocco and Ghana creep higher. Africa stirring late in the cycle.
  5. 2026-05-13 19:29Z Update
    Norway ticks up. Market still too low on the Nordic side.