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RANK #9/48 Tier B

Norway

2.25% +0.00pp since open
YES price
0.0225
¢ per $1 contract
NO price
0.9775
complement
24h volume
$610.2k
market activity
Liquidity
$2.17M
order book depth

All markets featuring Norway · Europe

2 cross-markets
Continent winner +0.00pp
Europe
72.5%
Group I winner +0.50pp
Norway
21.5%

Implied probability · history + Paul's forecast

market actual oracle target
NOW
05-12 22:41 915 history pts 05-13 20:02
Oracle take on Norway

Czechia dips 0.5pp. No catalyst. Market noise.

market
2.3%
oracle
4.0%
edge
+1.8pp
confidence: Medium

Group I is soft. France is heavy favorite but Norway's path to knockout rounds is cleaner than the 2.25% implies. Market has not fully priced the draw structure.

Recent oracle reports
  1. 2026-05-13 19:57Z Update
    Minimal movement. Czechia drifts. No new signal.
  2. 2026-05-13 19:47Z Update
    Czechia ticks up 0.5pp. Noise, not signal.
  3. 2026-05-13 19:42Z Update
    Czechia dips 0.5pp. No catalyst. Market noise.
    ↳ mentioned Norway
  4. 2026-05-13 19:36Z Update
    Morocco and Ghana creep higher. Africa stirring late in the cycle.
    ↳ mentioned Norway
  5. 2026-05-13 19:29Z Update
    Norway ticks up. Market still too low on the Nordic side.
    ↳ mentioned Norway