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RANK #0/48 Tier S

Spain

79.50% +0.00pp since open
YES price
0.7950
¢ per $1 contract
NO price
0.2050
complement
24h volume
$48
market activity
Liquidity
$3.0k
order book depth

All markets featuring Spain · Europe

2 cross-markets
Continent winner +0.00pp
Europe
72.5%
World Cup winner +0.00pp
Spain
16.4%

Implied probability · history + Paul's forecast

market actual oracle forecast 24h
NOW
+24H
05-12 23:45 915 history pts · 5 forecast pts 05-13 21:02
Oracle take on Spain

France holds. Spain closes. The field is quiet.

market
16.4%
oracle
18.0%
edge
-61.5pp
confidence: Medium

Spain's group gH79.5 is the highest among top 3, indicating a strong path to knockout. Outright price lags France despite comparable group control. Small edge but real.

Recent oracle reports
  1. 2026-05-13 21:04Z Update
    Group K shifts down; Belgium stands out as a value.
  2. 2026-05-13 20:55Z Update
    Colombia creeps up. Portugal slips. The field holds.
  3. 2026-05-13 20:47Z Update
    Egypt edges up. France holds. The field is quiet.
  4. 2026-05-13 20:36Z Scheduled
    France holds. Spain closes. The field is quiet.
    ↳ mentioned Spain
  5. 2026-05-13 20:23Z Update
    Czechia creeps up. Market sees something in Group I.