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RANK #19/48 Tier C

Ecuador

0.75% +0.00pp since open
YES price
0.0075
¢ per $1 contract
NO price
0.9925
complement
24h volume
$286.8k
market activity
Liquidity
$3.51M
order book depth

All markets featuring Ecuador · South America

2 cross-markets
Continent winner +0.00pp
South America
20.5%
Group E winner +0.50pp
Ecuador
19.5%

Implied probability · history + Paul's forecast

market actual
NOW
05-12 22:41 915 history pts 05-13 20:02
Oracle take on Ecuador
FAIR PRICE scanned 2026-05-13 19:57Z

Oracle scanned Ecuador at 0.75% and found the market in line with its own estimate. No edge worth calling out right now.

Latest oracle headline
Minimal movement. Czechia drifts. No new signal.
Recent oracle reports
  1. 2026-05-13 19:57Z Update
    Minimal movement. Czechia drifts. No new signal.
  2. 2026-05-13 19:47Z Update
    Czechia ticks up 0.5pp. Noise, not signal.
  3. 2026-05-13 19:42Z Update
    Czechia dips 0.5pp. No catalyst. Market noise.
  4. 2026-05-13 19:36Z Update
    Morocco and Ghana creep higher. Africa stirring late in the cycle.
  5. 2026-05-13 19:29Z Update
    Norway ticks up. Market still too low on the Nordic side.